Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.592854 0.680416 0.775751 0.887166 1.013710 1.152878 1.317444
2025-01-05 0.440323 0.553576 0.687698 0.857881 1.067690 1.317498 1.637107
2025-01-12 0.345740 0.472659 0.634982 0.856927 1.151530 1.528091 2.044764
2025-01-19 0.267147 0.395053 0.570806 0.828340 1.194215 1.693174 2.422636
2025-01-26 0.225367 0.358092 0.552778 0.856505 1.315179 1.977943 3.003059
2025-02-02 0.195943 0.332720 0.545784 0.897810 1.459800 2.315468 3.707817
2025-02-09 0.165589 0.299476 0.520242 0.905221 1.552603 2.587443 4.352330
2025-02-16 0.139907 0.268590 0.492461 0.903134 1.628045 2.840380 4.999771
2025-02-23 0.119753 0.243238 0.469185 0.903817 1.706515 3.106443 5.702157
2025-03-02 0.102888 0.220536 0.446379 0.900771 1.776489 3.365037 6.423134
2025-03-09 0.091016 0.205208 0.434494 0.915562 1.880121 3.694667 7.310839
2025-03-16 0.078722 0.186511 0.412650 0.906865 1.936522 3.942772 8.076363
2025-03-23 0.070478 0.175240 0.404602 0.926039 2.053305 4.325067 9.157298
2025-03-30 0.060950 0.159125 0.383482 0.914127 2.104422 4.585042 10.031036
2025-04-06 0.054442 0.148865 0.373582 0.925269 2.206386 4.961402 11.190868
2025-04-13 0.046756 0.134020 0.350435 0.902173 2.228953 5.173572 12.031497
2025-04-20 0.043387 0.129741 0.351946 0.937845 2.391208 5.708166 13.637739
2025-04-27 0.040963 0.127539 0.358261 0.986338 2.590695 6.349890 15.559986
2025-05-04 0.037040 0.120237 0.350103 0.996698 2.698703 6.795274 17.086016
2025-05-11 0.033147 0.112159 0.338426 0.995863 2.778406 7.183636 18.524444
2025-05-18 0.029829 0.105101 0.328303 0.997549 2.864796 7.598355 20.075267
2025-05-25 0.026765 0.098158 0.317254 0.994805 2.938986 7.991720 21.619766
2025-06-01 0.024632 0.093824 0.313158 1.011456 3.068585 8.540768 23.620528